Eguzki-ekaitzak, itzalaldi geomagnetikoak eta sarearen matxura¶
A severe geomagnetic storm occurs when the Sun erupts with an immense billion-ton cloud of magnetized plasma called a Coronal Mass Ejection (CME) directed straight at Earth, compressing Earth's magnetic field and inducing powerful electrical currents across continental power grids, pipelines, and undersea communications cables. Unlike earthquakes or man-made electromagnetic pulses (EMPs) that strike with zero warning, solar storms travel from the Sun to Earth over 15 to 72 hours, giving households a critical pre-impact warning window to fill water containers, top off vehicle fuel tanks, withdraw cash, charge batteries, and physically unplug sensitive electronics before the solar shockwave arrives.
Egin hau orain¶
- Top off vehicle fuel tanks and withdraw small-denomination emergency cash immediately upon a G4 or G5 Geomagnetic Storm Watch: When space weather agencies (such as the NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center in the United States, the UK Met Office, or the European Space Agency) issue a G4 (Severe) or G5 (Extreme) Watch 15 to 48 hours before impact, go straight to a gas station and ATM first. Service station fuel pumps and point-of-sale card terminals stop working the instant the regional electrical grid trips offline.
- Fill bathtubs, clean jugs, and water containers for 14 days of drinking and sanitation: Municipal water treatment plants and booster stations rely on grid-powered electric pumps that lose pressure within hours of a wide-area blackout. Store at least 4 liters (1 gallon) of clean water per person per day in food-grade jugs, plus fill bathtubs (using a plastic bathtub bladder if available) for washing and toilet flushing.
- Charge all phones, lithium power stations, laptops, headlamps, and two-way radios to 100%, then UNPLUG them before the CME arrival window: Once your batteries are fully charged, physically pull all charging bricks and power cords out of wall sockets before the solar storm hits Earth's magnetosphere.
- Physically unplug sensitive home electronics and flip off heavy 240-volt appliance circuit breakers: Do not rely on cheap plastic surge protector strips during a geomagnetic storm. Pull the wall plugs on computers, routers, TVs, and microwaves, and flip off the double-pole 240-volt circuit breakers at your main electrical panel for central air conditioners, heat pumps, electric water heaters, well pumps, and electric vehicle (EV) chargers to protect their motors and control boards from severe grid voltage sags and harmonic distortion.
- Download full offline road maps and medical records onto a spare device and pack a Faraday-shielded backup kit: Because severe geomagnetic storms scramble GPS/GNSS satellite navigation and high-frequency radio signals for 24 to 72 hours, download full state or national offline maps (in Google Maps, Apple Maps, OsmAnd, or Organic Maps), confirm you have paper road atlases in your vehicle, and place a battery/hand-crank AM/FM/NOAA weather radio and a spare phone wrapped in cardboard inside a sealed metal container.
- Switch rooftop solar and home battery systems to "Off-Grid / Island Mode" before impact: If your home has solar panels paired with a hybrid battery inverter (such as Tesla Powerwall, Enphase, or SolarEdge), manually disconnect from the utility grid via your transfer switch before the CME hits so violent grid voltage fluctuations and phase harmonics cannot trip or damage your inverter.
flowchart TD
A["NOAA / UK Met Office Issues G4 (Severe) or G5 (Extreme) Geomagnetic Storm Watch"] --> B["Warning Window Opens: 15 to 48 Hours Before Coronal Mass Ejection (CME) Hits Earth"]
B --> C["Hour 1: Top Off Vehicle Fuel Tanks, Withdraw Cash ($1/$5/$10/$20 Bills), & Pick Up Prescriptions"]
C --> D["Hour 2: Fill Drinking Water Jugs (4L / 1 Gal Per Person/Day) & Fill Bathtubs for Sanitation"]
D --> E["Hour 3: Charge All Phones, Power Banks, Laptops, and Radios to 100%, Download Offline Maps"]
E --> F["1 Hour Before L1 Satellite Impact (DSCOVR/ACE Warning): Physically Unplug Electronics & Flip 240V Breakers OFF"]
F --> G{"Does the Regional Power Grid Collapse Upon CME Impact?"}
G -- "No: Utilities Ride Through via Rolling Voltage Control" --> H["Wait Until Space Weather Kp Index Drops Below Kp 5 Before Reconnecting Sensitive Gear"]
G -- "Yes: Wide-Area Transformer Blackout" --> I["Shut Off Main Street Water Valve If Pressure Drops, Monitor AM Broadcast Radio, & Ration Resources"]
Part 1: Solar Storms (CMEs) vs Nuclear EMP: Physics, Myths, and Real Risks¶
Public confusion between a natural Solar Storm (Coronal Mass Ejection / Geomagnetic Storm) and a man-made High-Altitude Electromagnetic Pulse (HEMP / Nuclear EMP) causes many families either to panic unnecessarily (believing their unplugged phone and parked car will burst into flames during a solar storm) or to ignore real infrastructure threats (long-term water and power grid failure).
How a Solar Storm actually interacts with Earth (The 3 Stages of Space Weather)¶
When a massive magnetic eruption occurs on an active sunspot region facing Earth, solar energy reaches our planet in three distinct waves moving at different speeds:
- Wave 1: Solar Flare (R-Scale Radio Blackout: Arrives in 8 Minutes): A flash of X-rays and extreme ultraviolet light traveling at the speed of light. It ionizes the daytime D-layer of Earth's upper atmosphere within 8 minutes, causing temporary High-Frequency (HF) shortwave radio blackouts for aviation and marine vessels, but has zero impact on the electrical power grid.
- Wave 2: Solar Radiation Storm (S-Scale Proton Storm: Arrives in 15 Minutes to Several Hours): Streams of energetic protons accelerated by the solar eruption. These particles can cause single-event upsets in high-orbit satellites and increase radiation doses for astronauts and passengers on polar commercial flights, but Earth's atmosphere completely blocks them from reaching people or electronics on the ground.
- Wave 3: Coronal Mass Ejection / Geomagnetic Storm (G-Scale: Arrives in 15 to 72 Hours): This is the grid-threatening event. A billion-ton bubble of magnetized solar plasma hurtles across the 150 million kilometers (93 million miles) from the Sun to Earth. If the embedded magnetic field of the CME points southward (
negative Bz), opposite to Earth's northward magnetic field, it peel-links with Earth's magnetosphere and dumps terawatts of magnetic energy into the upper atmosphere, driving Geomagnetically Induced Currents (GICs) into the ground.
Technical Comparison: Natural Solar CME vs High-Altitude Nuclear EMP (E1, E2, E3)¶
According to technical assessments by the US Cybersecurity and Infrastructure Security Agency (CISA), the Electric Power Research Institute (EPRI), the UK National Grid ESO, and the US Department of Energy, a natural solar storm only produces the slow geomagnetically induced current (E3-like pulse) and never produces the fast E1 microwave/radio-frequency pulse that fries unplugged microchips.
| Physical Characteristic | Natural Solar Storm (Coronal Mass Ejection / Carrington-Class Event) | High-Altitude Nuclear EMP: E1 Pulse (Fast Component) | High-Altitude Nuclear EMP: E2 & E3 Pulses (Intermediate & Magnetohydrodynamic) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Advance Warning Time | 15 to 72 hours from solar eruption; 15 to 45 minutes exact magnetic confirmation at L1 satellite (DSCOVR / ACE) |
Zero warning (rises to peak in 2.5 to 5 nanoseconds at the speed of light) | Milliseconds to 300 seconds immediately following the E1 pulse |
| Frequency & Field Strength | Ultra-low frequency magnetic field variations (< 1 Hz); induces quasi-DC currents (10 to 300+ Amps) in conductors many kilometers long | Very High Frequency to UHF (10 MHz to 1 GHz); up to 50,000 Volts per meter (50 kV/m) electric field |
E2 resembles lightning (1 kV/m); E3 (< 1 Hz) induces quasi-DC currents in long power lines identical to a severe solar CME |
| Effect on Unplugged Phones, Laptops, Radios & Parked Cars | ZERO direct damage. Conductors shorter than several kilometers cannot pick up geomagnetically induced currents. Unplugged gear is 100% safe. | High Risk of Microchip Burnout: Couples directly into short circuit board traces, cords, and antennas unless inside a Faraday shield. | Zero direct damage to unplugged small devices; E3 only couples into long grid transmission lines and cables. |
| Effect on Plugged-In Home Appliances & Electronics | Moderate-to-High Risk: Severe grid voltage sags, harmonic distortion, and phase imbalances before grid collapse can burn out plugged-in AC motors and power supplies. | Severe Risk: Travels down house wiring into plugged-in appliances in nanoseconds. | Moderate-to-High Risk: Travels along utility lines into transformers and connected building panels. |
| Effect on Extra-High-Voltage (EHV) Grid Transformers | Catastrophic Risk: Quasi-DC GICs saturate transformer iron cores (half-cycle saturation), causing 200°C+ overheating, melted windings, and regional blackouts. |
Damages solid-state SCADA digital protective relays, substation sensors, and ceramic insulators. | Catastrophic Risk (E3): Half-cycle saturation and thermal destruction of 345 kV / 500 kV / 765 kV step-up and substation transformers. |
Why bedrock geology determines whether your region's power grid is vulnerable to a solar storm
Why did the March 1989 solar storm collapse the entire Hydro-Québec power grid in 92 seconds while leaving some lower-latitude grids intact? The answer lies beneath your feet. When a geomagnetic storm induces electric currents in the Earth, those currents seek the easiest conductive path. In regions sitting atop ancient, dense igneous rock (granite and basalt cratons), such as the Canadian Shield, New England, the US Upper Midwest, the Pacific Northwest, Scotland, and Scandinavia, the solid rock has high electrical resistance. Blocked from flowing through the deep rock, the Geomagnetically Induced Currents jump up through the grounding rods of high-voltage substations and race through hundreds of kilometers of copper and aluminum power lines instead. Coastal plains and sedimentary basins remain vulnerable whenever connected via long transmission lines to igneous regions.
Part 2: The NOAA Geomagnetic Storm Scale (G1 to G5) and Early Warning Systems¶
Space weather agencies worldwide monitor the Sun 24 hours a day using solar observatories (such as NASA/ESA's SOHO and SDO satellites) and deep-space solar wind buoys stationed at Lagrange Point 1 (L1), 1.5 million kilometers (1 million miles) upstream from Earth (NOAA DSCOVR eta NASA ACE satellites).
How to read the Kp Index and Bz Orientation during a Solar Watch¶
| NOAA Scale | Planetary Kp Index | Storm Severity & Average Frequency (per 11-Year Solar Cycle) | Power Grid, Pipeline, & Transformer Impact | Satellite, GPS/GNSS, & Radio Impact | Required Household Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G1 | Kp = 5 | Minor (~1,700 days per cycle) | Weak grid current fluctuations; no consumer impact | Aurora visible at high latitudes (Northern Canada, Alaska, Scotland, Norway) | None required. |
| G2 | Kp = 6 | Moderate (~600 days per cycle) | High-latitude grids monitor voltage alarms; prolonged storms may stress northern transformers | Maiztasun handiko (HF) irratiaren hedapena desagertzen da latitude polarretan | Jarraitu iragarpenak iparraldeko latitudeetan. |
| G3 | Kp = 7 | Strong (~200 days per cycle) | Voltage corrections required on grid; false alarms triggered on some substation protection relays | Intermittent GPS position drift and low-frequency navigation problems | Charge backup power banks; keep offline maps ready. |
| G4 | Kp = 8 to 9- | Severe (~100 days per cycle; e.g., May 2024 Mother's Day Storm) | Widespread voltage control problems; some protective relays trip grid assets offline; precision agricultural GPS fails | GPS/GNSS degraded or unusable for hours; aurora visible down to mid-latitudes (Florida, Texas, Southern Europe) | Top off fuel, fill water jugs, charge all batteries, unplug non-important sensitive electronics. |
| G5 | Kp = 9 | Extreme (~4 days per cycle; e.g., March 1989 Quebec Blackout, Oct 2003 Halloween Storms, 1859 Carrington Event) | Widespread protective system blackouts and potential regional grid collapse; permanent thermal damage to Extra-High-Voltage (EHV) transformers | Complete daytime HF radio blackout; GPS positioning and timing errors for 24 to 72 hours; severe satellite drag | Execute full blackout protocol: unplug electronics, flip off 240V breakers, store backup gear in Faraday container. |
Part 3: Protecting Home Electronics, Solar Inverters, and Building a Faraday Shield¶
When a severe G5 solar storm or EMP threat is imminent, standard consumer surge protectors will not save your equipment, and can actually become an indoor fire hazard.
1. Why standard power-strip surge protectors fail (and catch fire) during geomagnetic events¶
Inside a typical $20 power-strip surge protector is a coin-sized component called a Metal Oxide Varistor (MOV). An MOV is engineered to divert a microsecond voltage spike from a nearby lightning strike into the ground wire.
- During a severe geomagnetic storm, quasi-DC currents saturate utility transformers, causing sustained over-voltage, under-voltage (brownouts), and severe even-and-odd harmonic frequency distortion lasting minutes to hours before the grid trips offline.
- When subjected to sustained harmonic distortion or prolonged over-voltage, the MOVs inside cheap power strips overheat past their thermal runaway limit, melting the plastic casing and igniting carpet or curtains.
- The Air-Gap Rule: Physically pulling the electrical plug out of the wall outlet creates a 1-meter air gap that no solar-induced grid surge can ever jump across. For hardwired 240-volt equipment (central HVAC condensers, well pumps, electric ovens, EV chargers), flipping the circuit breaker to OFF at your main breaker panel opens the internal mechanical contacts.
2. How to build a tested, dual-insulated DIY Faraday Container in 5 minutes¶
If you want to protect backup communication and survival electronics against both extreme solar radio bursts and high-frequency E1/E2 electromagnetic pulses (EMP), you do not need to buy expensive tactical bags. You can build a highly effective nested Faraday shield using a galvanized steel trash can or metal biscuit/ammo tin:
flowchart TD
A["Select smooth Outer Metal Container (Galvanized Steel Trash Can, Steel Ammo Can, or Metal Cookie Tin)"] --> B["Step 1: Inspect & Clean Metal Lid Rim (Scrape Paint Off Contact Seam so Bare Metal Touches Bare Metal)"]
B --> C["Step 2: Line Entire Interior With Thick Non-Conductive Insulation (Cardboard Box, Foam, or Dry Towels)"]
C --> D["Step 3: Wrap Each Unplugged Electronic Item Individually in Plastic Bag + 3 Layers of Heavy-Duty Aluminum Foil"]
D --> E["Step 4: Place Wrapped Gear Inside Insulated Core (Verify Zero Metal-to-Metal Contact With Outer Wall)"]
E --> F["Step 5: Press Metal Lid Shut & Seal Entire Perimeter Seam With Conductive Metallic Aluminum HVAC Tape"]
- What to pack inside your Faraday container:
- A pocket AM/FM/Shortwave battery-powered radio (plus sealed lithium AA/AAA batteries, which have a 15-to-20-year shelf life and never leak corrosive acid like alkaline batteries).
- An older spare smartphone or tablet pre-loaded with offline topographic and street maps (
OsmAndedoOrganic Maps), offline Wikipedia (Kiwix), PDF copies of family medical records, prescriptions, deeds, and emergency manuals, plus a USB charging cable. - A foldable portable solar panel (20W to 100W) and a lithium-iron-phosphate (\(\text{LiFePO}_4\)) or lithium-ion USB power bank.
- LED farola eta oinarrizko multimetro digitala (pilak probatzeko eta etxeko energia berreskuratzeko).
- Diabetikoentzat edo gaixo mediko kritikoentzat: ordezko odoleko glukosa neurgailua edo monitore mediko elektroniko kritikoa.
# 1 Faraday Cage akatsa: gailuari metalezko horma hutsa ukitzea
Faraday-ko kaiola batek metalezko ontziaren kanpoko azalean kanpoko eremu elektromagnetikoak eroaten ditu. Telefono edo irrati biluzi bat munizio-ontzi edo zakarrontzi baten hondo metaliko hutsean erortzen baduzu barruko estalki isolatzailerik gabe, metalezko horman zehar doan korronte elektrikoa zuzenean gailuaren txasisera eroaten da eta suntsitzen du. Mantendu beti gutxienez 1 eta 2 zentimetro (0,5 eta 1 hazbete) kartoi lehorra, aparra, kautxua edo tolestutako oihal isolatzailea zure gailuen eta barruko metalezko hormen artean.
Part 4: Surviving a Prolonged Grid and Transformer Blackout (72 Hours to 30+ Days)¶
In a moderate blackout where protective relays simply trip transmission lines offline to save equipment (as utilities now attempt under North American NERC TPL-007 geomagnetic disturbance standards and UK National Grid protocols), power can be restored via "Black Start" hydro and gas turbines within 12 to 72 hours. However, in an extreme Carrington-class scenario where dozens of massive 200-to-400-ton Extra-High-Voltage (EHV) step-up transformers suffer internal winding failure, utilities hold limited spare transformers, meaning rolling blackouts or regional outages could last weeks.
1. The First 60 Minutes of a Grid Collapse: Water and Sewage Lockdown¶
- Fill every remaining vessel while municipal water towers still have gravity pressure: Even after electric pumps fail at the city water plant, elevated neighborhood water towers provide gravity pressure for 30 minutes to 6 hours until everyone on your street drains the tower. Immediately fill every clean pot, bucket, washing machine tub, and pitcher.
- Shut off your main household water valve once municipal pressure drops to zero: If a municipal water main loses positive pressure, contaminated groundwater enters cracked street pipes, and negative back-siphonage can suck the clean water right out of your house pipes and water heater back into the street main. Closing your home's main water shutoff valve traps 110 to 300 liters (30 to 80 gallons) of clean, potable water inside your domestic hot water heater tank, which you can drain as needed from the brass spigot at the very bottom of the tank (be sure to turn off the water heater's gas valve or electric breaker first, and open a hot-water faucet upstairs to break the vacuum so the tank drains).
- Stop flushing standard toilets if municipal sewage lift stations fail: In flat or hilly neighborhoods, municipal sewer lines depend on electric sewage lift pumps every few kilometers. If everyone keeps pouring bucket water down toilets during a multi-day blackout while lift stations are dead, raw sewage backs up through the lowest basement floor drain or ground-floor shower in the neighborhood. Set up a two-bucket dry sanitation toilet (a 19-liter / 5-gallon bucket lined with heavy contractor trash bags and cat litter, pine shavings, or peat moss) and plug your lowest basement floor drain with an expandable rubber test plug if sewage backup threatens.
2. Communications and Navigation When Cell Towers, Internet, and GPS Go Dark¶
- Why cell towers die within 4 to 24 hours: Although major cellular macro-towers have backup lead-acid batteries (lasting 4 to 8 hours) or diesel generators (lasting 24 to 72 hours), the fiber-optic backhaul switches and fuel re-supply trucks fail during a regional grid collapse.
- Why High-Power AM Radio (
530 to 1710 kHz) is the ultimate survival lifeline: Unlike FM radio and television signals (which travel strictly line-of-sight and stop at the horizon 50 kilometers away), clear-channel AM broadcast stations (such as Primary Entry Point / Emergency Alert System stations in the US, BBC Radio 4 Longwave/Medium Wave in the UK, CBC Radio One in Canada, and ABC Local Radio in Australia) use massive hardened transmitters with multi-week diesel reserves. At night, AM radio skywaves bounce off the ionosphere across 800 to 1,500 kilometers (500 to 900 miles), allowing a $15 pocket AM radio to pick up distant non-blacked-out states or national emergency broadcasts. - Navigating without GPS: During a G5 geomagnetic storm, extreme ionospheric scintillation scrambles the ultra-weak
1.575 GHzsignals from GPS, Galileo, and GLONASS satellites. Airplane pilots, ships, and drivers relying exclusively on live cloud GPS maps will lose navigation. Always keep a physical paper road atlas in your vehicle glovebox and a magnetic baseplate compass in your emergency kit (note: during peak magnetic storm hours, a magnetic compass needle can fluctuate by 1 to 5 degrees, then returns to exact magnetic north as soon as the geomagnetic storm subsides).
CARBON MONOXIDE KILLS SILENTLY DURING EVERY BLACKOUT: Generator and Heating Rules
In every major multi-day power outage, carbon monoxide (\(\text{CO}\)) poisoning from portable gasoline generators, charcoal grills, and propane camp stoves causes a surge of preventable deaths. - Never run a portable generator inside a garage, basement, porch, or shed, even with the garage door wide open. Always place portable generators outdoors at least 6 meters (20 feet) away from every window, door, and soffit vent, with the exhaust pointing away from the house. - Never use a gas kitchen oven, gas stovetop burners, or a charcoal grill to heat your living space. - Keep at least two battery-operated (or 10-year sealed lithium) Carbon Monoxide alarms active on every sleeping level of your home; they require zero wall electricity to save your family's lives at night.
Maiz egiten diren galderak¶
Can a severe solar storm or Coronal Mass Ejection hurt my body, my unborn baby, or my pets?
No. Earth is surrounded by a dense blanket of atmosphere (equivalent in radiation shielding to 10 meters / 33 feet of solid concrete) plus our planetary magnetosphere. Even during an extreme G5 Carrington-class solar storm, zero harmful solar radiation reaches people, pregnant individuals, or animals on the ground. You will not feel anything physically, the only visible effect from the ground is spectacular northern and southern lights (aurora borealis and aurora australis) glowing overhead deep into mid- and low-latitude skies.
Will my modern fuel-injected car or electric vehicle still start and drive after a massive solar storm?
Bai, eguzki-ekaitz naturalak (CME) EZ du entxuferik gabeko autoa, kamioia edo traktorea errepidean edo zure bidegorrian eserita dagoena kaltetu edo desgaituko. Ibilgailuaren kable-arnesak 3 eta 4 metro bitarteko (10 eta 13 oin) baino ez dituenez eta lurretik isolatuta dauden gomazko lau pneumatikoen gainean kokatzen denez, ezin ditu jaso Geomagnetikoki Induzitutako Korronteak (kilometro askoko eroaleak behar dituztenak). Bi kontu bakarrak hauek dira: (1) Entxufagarrizko Ibilgailu Elektrikoa (EV) gidatzen baduzu, deskonektatu autoko karga-kablea eguzki-ekaitzak jo baino lehen, sareko gorakada bat autoaren barneko kargagailuan sartu ezin da hormako kablearen bidez; eta (2) Zure autoaren GPS nabigazio-pantailak aldi baterako noraezean edo sateliteen blokeoa gal dezake 24 eta 48 orduz ekaitzaren garaian.
Erabili al dezaket nire mikrouhin-labea Faraday-ren kaiola inprobisatu gisa larrialdi batean?
Etxeko mikrouhin-labe batek blindaje partziala eta erdipurdikoa baino ez du ematen eta altzairuzko zakarrontzi itxi batek edo aluminiozko paper astuneko hiru geruza baino askoz eraginkorragoa da. Mikrouhin-labeak 2,45 GHz-ko sukaldeko mikrouhinak blokeatzeko bereziki egokituta daude, argi ikusgarria zulatutako leihoaren saretik pasatzen uzten duten bitartean, eta zuzenean zure etxeko hormako kableatu elektrikoan lotuta geratzen dira deskonektatu ezean. Deskonektatuta dagoen mikrouhin-labea pixka batean erabiltzen baduzu, gailu elektronikoak barruan sartu behar dituzu aluminiozko paper astuneko hiru geruza estuz inguratutako plastikozko poltsa batean sartu aurretik.
Zer gertatzen da aireko hegazkinekin G5 eguzki-ekaitza edo eguzki-erradiazio-ekaitza hegaldi batean zehar jotzen badu?
Aire-konpainia komertzialek eta abiazio-erregulatzaileek (adibidez, AEBetako FAA, Eurocontrol eta Erresuma Batuko CAA) denbora errealeko alerta zuzenak jasotzen dituzte NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center eta ICAO espazio-eguraldi zentroetatik ekaitza iritsi baino ordu lehenago. Eguzki erradiazio ekaitz larria (S3tik S5ra) edo ekaitz geomagnetiko bat (G4tik G5era) gertatzen denean, aire konpainiek automatikoki birbideratzen dituzte hegaldi transpolarrak (adibidez, Ipar Amerika eta Asia arteko hegaldiak edo Europa Ipar Poloan zehar) latitude baxuagoetara, non Lurraren eremu magnetikoa lodiagoa den, aldatu Maiztasun Handiko (HF) irratitik satelite edo VHF errele inertzialak eta erreferentziazko sistemak (zero errele) erabili behar dituztenak. sateliteak) eta lurreko nabigazio-balizak GPSrik gabe segurtasunez lurreratzeko.
Zenbat abisu jasotzen dugu benetan Carrington mailako eguzki-ekaitz batek sare elektrikora jo baino lehen?
Bi abisu bereizten dituzu. Lehenik eta behin, Eguzkitik Lurrera zuzendutako Coronal Mass Ejection lehertzen den momentuan, sateliteetako korografo-kamerek 30 eta 60 minuturen buruan hedatzen ari den halo-hodeia antzematen dute, NOAA eta Erresuma Batuko Met Office-k Ekaitz Geomagnetikoen Watch bat igortzea ahalbidetuz, hodeia Lurrera iritsi baino 15 eta 48 ordu lehenago (Carrington klaseko CME bizkorrek 15 eta 18 ordu behar dituzte normalean). Bigarrenik, hodeiak Lurra jo baino 15 eta 45 minutu inguru, zuzen-zuzen igarotzen du Lagrange Point 1-en 1,5 milioi kilometro ibaian gora aparkatuta dauden DSCOVR eta ACE sateliteetatik, orientazio magnetiko zehatza neurtuz (iparralderantz vs hegoalderantz Bz) eta eragina kalterik gabeko kolpe bat edo G5 ekaitz gogorra izango den baieztatuz.
Sare elektrikoa eguzki ekaitz batetik jaisten bada, noiz da seguru nire elektronika eta eguzki-inbertsorea berriro konektatzea?
Itxaron gutxienez 4-6 ordu erabilgarritasun-energia egonkorra itzultzen denetik, eta entzun tokiko larrialdi-eguneratzeak AM bateria-irrati batean, Ekaitz geomagnetikoko abisua G3 azpitik jaitsi dela baieztatzen dutenak, ordenagailuak, etxetresna elektrikoak edo sarera lotuta dauden inbertsoreak horman berriro konektatu aurretik. Zerbitzuek lehen aldiz transmisio-lerroak dinamizatzen dituztenean asaldura geomagnetiko batean zehar edo berehala ondoren, bigarren mailako CME ekaitzek eta transformadoreak aldatzeko igoerek behin eta berriz tentsio-puntak eta etenaldiak eragin ditzakete sarea guztiz egonkortu aurretik.
Iturriak egiaztatu¶
- National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center - SWPC, Estatu Batuak): NOAA Space Weather Scales (Geomagnetic Storms G1 to G5, Solar Radiation Storms S1 to S5, Radio Blackouts R1 to R5) eta DSCOVR Real-Time Solar Wind Protocols.
- Zibersegurtasun eta Azpiegituren Segurtasun Agentzia (CISA) eta Larrialdien Kudeaketa Agentzia Federala (FEMA, Estatu Batuak): * Pultsu Elektromagnetikoak (EMP) eta Nahaste Geomagnetikoak (GMD) Erresilientzia Jarraibideak Azpiegitura Kritikoetarako eta Herritarrentzat*.
- North American Electric Reliability Corporation (NERC, Estatu Batuak / Kanada): TPL-007 fidagarritasun estandarra (Transmission System Planned Performance for Geomagnetic Disturbance Events) eta 1989 Hydro-Québec-en itzalaldiaren ondorengo analisia.
- Erresuma Batuko Met Office Space Weather Operations Center (MOSWOC) eta National Grid Electricity System Operator (ESO, Erresuma Batua): Severe Space Weather Preparation, National Risk Register Eguzki Ekaitzen Ebaluazioa eta Grid Transformer Mitigation.
- Europako Espazio Agentzia (ESA Space Safety Program / Space Weather Service Network, Europar Batasuna): Koronal Mass Ejection Forecasting and Ionospheric GNSS Scintillation Impacts.
- Electric Power Research Institute (EPRI, Estatu Batuak): * Altuera handiko pultsu elektromagnetikoak (HEMP E1/E2/E3) eta geomagnetikoki induzitutako korronte (GIC) transformadoreen ebaluazio termikoak*.